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Sherpa

Signals from the summit

Trad and crypto market trend signals, bubble watch, macroeconomic regime shifts, portfolio updates, and other musings from the Macro Sherpa.

Sherpa Trend Signal Updates 2024-03-16

12-month median forward return for new crypto market trend model long signals

Keep eating my words on this – 30, 33, now 46 new longs this week. Once again, traditional markets brought most of the thunder. As always, if you're new here, peep the bottom of the page to learn about the trend models and our process. * Total signal flips: 46 * New longs: 46 (41 trad, 5 crypto) * New shorts: 0 * Best crypto idea: RUNE * Obviously not dealing with a huge sample size here (15 historical signals), but eye watering movement. A slugging percentage play. * Thorchain has ce

macro sherpa

The Macro Sherpa evolved over years on the desk as an analyst at multiple billion dollar asset managers. Quantitative models, tools, and analysis were de rigueur.

Sherpa Trend Signal Updates 2024-03-09

12-month median forward return for new trad market trend model long signals

Another week, another 33 signal flips on our trend models (description at the end of you’re new here). All longs. After last week’s bounty, I speculated if that would go down as a notably large signal haul. Turns out its title defense didn’t last a week. * Total signal flips: 33 * New longs: 33 (27 trad, 6 crypto) * New shorts: 0 * Best crypto idea: meh. * While everything pumps in a bull, we don’t like ghost chains (algorand) and ghost narratives (sandbox). Remain long majors and play

macro sherpa

The Macro Sherpa evolved over years on the desk as an analyst at multiple billion dollar asset managers. Quantitative models, tools, and analysis were de rigueur.

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